The BLS Occupational Outlook Handbook projects database administrator employment to be essentially unchanged, 0%, from 2025 to 2035. Its explanation is cloud adoption: managed database services let fewer administrators support more companies at once. BLS also expects some DBAs to move into roles such as database architect or software developer.
Over the same period BLS projects database architect employment to grow 9%, driven by organizations adopting AI and needing sturdy data infrastructure. The skills overlap heavily, which is why the DBA-to-architect or DBA-to-data-engineer move is common.
None of this means DBA pay is falling. The May 2025 median of $104,620 is close to the computer systems analyst median, and production DBAs who run large, regulated or high-availability databases remain hard to replace.